Waterhouse VC is a fund for wholesale investors, specialising in global publicly listed and private businesses related to wagering and gaming.

Since inception in August 2019, Waterhouse VC has achieved a gross total return of +3,139% (annualised +102%), as at 31 July 2024, assuming the reinvestment of all distributions.

Olden days

Becoming the dominant force early in an industry can lead to significant competitive advantages, brand recognition, and customer loyalty. Amazon in e-commerce and Coca-Cola in soft drinks, are examples where early and effective market entry cemented dominant lasting positions. Dominance is maintained through established distribution, economies of scale and a sticky customer base.

In gambling, aside from countries where a pari-mutuel (tote) operator has a monopoly on betting, there is a variety of choice. For example, in Australia, there are around 100 wagering operators and in the UK there are 175 online operators. Before the internet, bookmakers would typically earn and retain market share through physical high street betting shops, which gave the industry a natural barrier to entry.

In the UK, Ladbrokes and William Hill emerged as the market leaders amongst a wide field of operators. By 1999, at the dawn of the internet era, there were 8,500 UK betting shops. As with Amazon, the internet changed the way people ‘shop’ for bets, leading to a steady decline in high street betting shops. In their place, technology-lead operators like Flutter and Bet365 emerged.

Humble beginnings

When Denise Coates bought the domain name bet365.com on eBay for a reported $25,000, she saw an opportunity to transform the family’s small chain of betting shops based around Stoke-on-Trent into a high-tech, online business. Coates’ ensuing strategy, execution and growth was nothing short of extraordinary. Founded in 2000 with just 12 employees, Coates saw the internet as the future of wagering and sold the family betting shop business by 2005. In contrast, rival betting operators opted to keep a foot in each door, with a dual focus across the nascent internet opportunity and the profitable betting shop business.

Since launching, Bet365 grew rapidly by offering innovative ways to bet and an extensive range of sports, events and casino games. The user experience is intuitive and simple, with customers able to listen, watch and bet in-play with ease. Common features such as early payouts for winning selections, best odds guaranteed, cash outs and multi/parlay boosts are products of Bet365’s leading customer experience innovation.

*Denise Coates received an OBE after decades of philanthropic activities. Source: The Times*

In-play with Ray

The marketing efforts of Bet365 have attracted and retained a customer base that now stands at 90 million users worldwide. The legendary ‘in-play with Ray’ adverts, featuring actor Ray Winstone, are iconic and highlight Bet365’s leading in-play product.

More recently, Bet365 showcased the attention they pay to every sport through their ‘never ordinary’ curling advert. The ability to watch and bet on live niche sports such as table tennis is something that few other operators can compete with.

Growing global

Bet365 holds licences in South America, Europe, Australasia, Canada, and a growing number of states in America. In markets where they have a foothold, content is tailored specifically, with language and product considerations (such as sport popularity). When commercially viable, Bet365 will move; when not, they will wait (as they did with the US) and, in some instances, they will withdraw. In October 2023 for instance, Bet365 withdrew from India due to a 28% Goods and Services Tax.

As we first discussed in May 2021, US online operators have fought for market share by spending up to US$1,000 to acquire customers. Ultimately, some operators have withdrawn from the competitive market, such as Churchill Downs.

“The online sports betting and online casino space is highly competitive with an ever-increasing number of participants… Many are pursuing maximum market share in every state with limited regard for short-term or potentially even long-term profitability” - Churchill Downs’ CEO, William Carstanjen (February 2022)

JMP Securities estimates that since 2018, 74 companies have entered the regulated US online wagering market. Of these, 43 (58%) are still operational, 18 (24%) have ceased operations, 10 (14%) have significantly reduced their presence or are in the process of shutting down, and 3 (4%) have been acquired.

Throughout this highly competitive period, Bet365 patiently remained on the sidelines. The company only expanded out of New Jersey in September 2022, more than four years after the US market opened up, growing quickly to 10 states. Early data reveals the sportsbook’s growing popularity, with total US app download market share over 7%.

*Bet365’s US Wagering App Downloads. Source: Taylor Collison.*

*US states where Bet365 operates. Source: Football Ground Guide.*

Upping the stakes

As highlighted in our June 2024 newsletter, emerging wagering businesses have the greatest chance of success if they focus on dominating a niche without a clear market leader. Another privately-owned wagering business which has disrupted the status quo is Stake.com. Founded in 2017 by Ed Craven and Bijan Tehrani, Stake has increased its gross gaming revenue 25-fold from $105 million in 2020 to nearly $2.6 billion in 2023 (FT). Stake’s growth has driven Craven’s personal wealth of A$4.51 billion and his purchase of Melbourne’s most expensive home for $80 million in 2022 (Australian Financial Review).

The success of Stake has been rooted in its ability to appeal to a younger, more tech-savvy demographic. In countries where regulation permits, users can bet using cryptocurrencies, which has revolutionised the online wagering experience.

For Stake, cryptocurrency payments reduce operational expenses tied to conventional payment methods, which means that they can increase technology investments, offer larger bonuses, better promotions and superior odds. In countries where crypto betting is not legislated, Stake has still been able to revolutionise the betting experience through engaging streaming content, improved UX, and strategic partnerships.

*Stake has emerged as one of the world’s largest wagering operators. Source: FT*

Global presence

Stake has grown its global awareness and built trust through a series of strategic partnerships. Through sponsorship of Premier League football clubs such as Everton, Stake has increased its global brand recognition. Stake has also ventured into the world of Formula 1, becoming the title sponsor of the Alfa Romeo team, giving the brand further credibility. The operator has targeted a younger demographic through partnerships with the UFC, where millennials make up 40% of the fanbase (Play Today).

*Stake F1 launch the Kick Sauber C44. Source: Planet F1*

While other operators have retracted their presence from India, Stake has become the first operator to allow customers to deposit in Indian rupees. We discussed the Indian wagering opportunity in March last year. Stake also entered the South American market, acquiring Betfair Colombia in November 2023.

The founders of Stake (headquartered in Australia) recently invested in Australian wagering operator Pointsbet. In May, the Australian Financial Review reported that Stake’s owners had acquired a 5% shareholding in the business. Stake increasing its shareholding in fully licensed operators such as Pointsbet may signal a broader strategy which parallels Bet365: operate globally and pay high tax domestically. Last year, the Coates family paid £375.9 million in UK tax (iGaming Business) and is often cited as one of the UK’s largest taxpayers. The Coates family also owns Stoke City Football Club.

Kicking competition

Stake has created vibrant betting communities through partnerships with celebrities like Drake, leveraging streaming technology so that viewers can effectively watch, comment and engage with wagering. Kick, a streaming platform owned by the founders of Stake, was launched in early 2023 and is quickly gaining traction among streamers and viewers alike. As discussed in our August 2023 newsletter, Kick stands out from other platforms like Twitch due to its supportive stance on betting streams. Since April 2023, Kick’s number of active channels has nearly tripled from around 67,000 to 183,922 (Streams Charts).

*Drake (username ‘champagne papi’) shared his betslip ahead of the Copa America game between Canada and Argentina to 145 million followers. Source: Instagram*

*‘Slots & Casino’ was Kick’s second highest games category in June. Source: Streams Charts.*

*Slots and casino streaming on Kick. Source: The New York Times*

As the internet enabled Amazon to disrupt traditional commerce, so too did it allow Bet365 and Flutter to disrupt the traditional wagering model. 20 years on, Stake is disrupting the incumbent operators through innovation across product, payments and customer engagement.

Media

In July, Hedge Fund Alert covered Waterhouse VC's five-year journey, discussing the fund's performance and some recent deals. See an extract from Hedge Fund Alert below.

*Waterhouse VC’s 5 year journey. Source: Hedge Fund Alert*

For wholesale investors interested in following wagering and gaming industry news and trends, please follow our updates on Twitter (@waterhousevc) or through our website at WaterhouseVC.com.

All the best,

Tom

DISCLAIMER AND IMPORTANT NOTES

Please note the above information in relation to Ladbrokes Coral, William Hill, Amazon.com Inc, Coca-Cola Co, Denise Coates, Bet365, Stake.com, Ed Craven, Kick.com, Pointsbet Holdings Ltd, Drake, Instagram, Churchill Downs and Flutter Entertainment Plc is based on publicly available information in relation to the company and should not be considered nor construed as financial product advice. The Fund currently has a position in Flutter Entertainment Plc. The information provided in this document is general information only and does not constitute investment or other advice. Readers should consult and rely on professional investment advice specific to their individual circumstances

Not for Release or Distribution in the United States of America

This material may not be released or distributed in the United States. This material does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction in which such an offer would be illegal. The units in the Fund have not been, and will not be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the U.S. Securities Act) or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Accordingly, the units in the Fund may not be offered or sold in the United States unless they are offered and sold, directly or indirectly, in transactions exempt from, or not subject to, the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act and any other applicable United States state securities laws.

General Information Only

This material is for general information only and is not an offer for the purchase or sale of any financial product or service. The material has been prepared for investors who qualify as wholesale clients under sections 761G of the Corporations Act or to any other person who is not required to be given a regulated disclosure document under the Corporations Act. The material is not intended to provide you with financial or tax advice and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Although we believe that the material is correct, no warranty of accuracy, reliability or completeness is given, except for liability under statute which cannot be excluded. Please note that past performance may not be indicative of future performance and that no guarantee of performance, the return of capital or a particular rate of return is given by Sandford Capital, Waterhouse VC or any other person. To the maximum extent possible, Sandford Capital, Waterhouse VC or any other person do not accept any liability for any statement in this material.

Financial Regulatory Oversight and Administration

Waterhouse VC is an Australian Unit Trust denominated in AUD and available to wholesale institutional investors worldwide with a minimum of AUD 500,000 or USD / EUR / GBP / JPY / CHF equivalent. This material has been prepared by Waterhouse VC Pty Ltd (ABN 48 635 494 861) (‘Waterhouse VC’, ‘Trustee’, ‘us’ or ‘we’) as the Trustee of the Waterhouse VC Fund (the ‘Fund’). The Trustee is a corporate authorised representative (CAR 1278656) of Sandford Capital Pty Limited (ABN 82 600 590 887) (AFSL 461981) (Sandford Capital) and appoints Sandford Capital as its AFS licensed intermediary under s911A(2)(b) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) to arrange for the offer to issue, vary or dispose of units in the Fund.

Performance

Past performance of Waterhouse VC is not a reliable indicator of future performance. We make every endeavour to ensure results are accurate. Waterhouse VC Pty Ltd does not guarantee the performance of any strategy or the return of an investor’s capital or any specific rate of return. No allowance has been made for taxation, where applicable. We encourage you to think of investing as a long-term pursuit. Waterhouse VC’s results are indicative only and subject to subsequent year end external financial review.

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