See below for this month’s Waterhouse VC newsletter. We specialise in global publicly listed and private businesses related to wagering and gaming.

Since inception in August 2019, Waterhouse VC has achieved a total return of 1,835% as at 30 September 2022, assuming the reinvestment of all distributions.

Catering to the next generation

As discussed in our January 2022 newsletter, wagering apps have maintained a consistent information architecture for decades, typically structuring their layout by featuring promotions at the top, then providing some high level navigation to the most popular sports and major racing codes. We have a particular focus on companies that are revolutionising this traditional user interface and the broader user experience. In January, we discussed Voxbet, a voice and text to bet business, which bettors can use directly through Viber, Telegram and other popular messaging services, thus circumventing the need to bet through a bookmaker’s website/app.

Social betting

Another way that bookmakers can appeal to a younger, digital-native generation of bettors, is by promoting the social aspect of betting. Bettors have always discussed their top picks with their friends, but this was not previously embedded within bookmakers’ apps. By bringing together social media and wagering, bookmakers hope to improve customer retention and lifetime value. Social betting also plays into the growth of influencers, with respected bettors able to build large followers who can copy their bet. On social betting sites, the number of copy bets are comparable to Facebook/Instagram/Twitter ‘likes’. Betting influencers can gain particularly high followings if they are successful with multi bets (known as parlay bets in the USA), which have a large pay-out if won.
In May 2021,Sportsbet launched their ‘Bet With Mates’ product, which allows bettors to pool their bets into one group and invite friends to share in the bet. Previously, the organiser of a group bet had to manually calculate each participant’s buy-in and bet on behalf of the group. Through ‘Bet With Mates’, activity and performance can now be tracked on each group’s homepage, with the ability to use emoji reactions to create an immersive social betting experience (Flutter Entertainment Plc).

In September in Australia, total wagering app downloads numbered 272,000 (Taylor Collison). Social betting apps fall under the category of ‘Other’ and have increased from 0% market share of wagering app downloads to 10% in just over a year.

*Australian Wagering App Downloads by Category. Source: Taylor Collison.*

Furthermore, within the ‘Other’ category, Dabble’s market share is dominant at 76%. Dabble CEO, Tom Rundle, describes Dabble as a “social media app for people who like to bet ... rather than being a betting app with a social (function)” (The Weekend Australian).

*‘Other’ Australian Wagering App Downloads by Operator. Source: Taylor Collison*

Dabbling in Dabble

In October, Dabble secured a A$33 million investment from Tabcorp, a 20% stake which values the company at A$165 million. We’ve been following Dabble for a while now and highly respect one of their early investors, Yolo Investments (yolo.io), another venture capital fund with whom we regularly co-invest. Dabble's valuation is now around double that of Bluebet (ASX:BBT) and a third of Pointsbet (ASX:PBH). Dabble already records annual revenue of A$47 million, with 150,000 users (80% aged from 18-35) signed up in under 18 months (The Weekend Australian).

When a user opens the Dabble app, they immediately see an activity feed reminiscent of Instagram, with the most popular shared bets and commentary front and centre. The user can follow prominent bettors such as ‘GorrillaBetz’, who has over 50,000 followers. There are also a multitude of celebrity bettors on the platform, such as retired rugby league player, Robbie Farah, who also has over 50,000 followers. Recently, 88 people copied one of Farah’s multi bets with odds of 27.82 (a $1 bet generated a gain of $26.82).

“We see some of them as content creators, the same way as Twitter or more so YouTube or TikTok – once someone creates a lot of content and they are very influential we have a closer relationship with them and sometimes we might pay them to maintain their activity. We didn’t create them, they have come to us, built their own profiles just like an Instagram influencer would.” – Dabble CEO, Tom Rundle (The Weekend Australian)

US dilemma

As discussed in our last newsletter and prior newsletters, US operators are generally spending heavily to gain market share. In 2021, FanDuel spent US$775 million on marketing and DraftKings spent US$929 million. However, many US operators have now recognised that the cost to acquire a customer is far too high relative to their lifetime value and that traditional marketing efforts are consequently unsustainable. In order to address this issue, there are two main levers that an operator can pull:

1) Altering the allocation of marketing budget to ultimately reduce the cost to acquire a customer. This could encompass innovative non-traditional methods, such as influencer marketing.

2) Innovating products to improve customer lifetime value. This could include the introduction of social betting.

We believe that social betting represents a significant opportunity to improve customer lifetime value, which is a critical issue for operators in the nascent US market.

Media

In September, I enjoyed sharing iGamingNEXT’s stage with Julian Buhagiar (Co-Founder of RB Capital) to discuss: "The US market - cut-throat or a continuing growth opportunity?". See the discussion here (1:02:41 to 1:35:30).

DISCLAIMER AND IMPORTANT NOTES

Please note the above information in relation to Dabble, Bluebet Holdings Ltd, Pointsbet Holdings Ltd, Tabcorp Holdings Ltd, Flutter Entertainment Plc, and DraftKings Inc is based on publicly available information in relation to the company and should not be considered nor construed as financial product advice. Waterhouse VC has a position in Flutter Entertainment Plc. The information provided in this document is general information only and does not constitute investment or other advice. Readers should consult and rely on professional investment advice specific to their individual circumstances.

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